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印象盐城·数创未来大数据竞赛 - 乘用车零售量预测

数据:赛题与数据
排名:46/2500(复赛B榜最终结果提交有误...)
思路:1. 训练数据处理:(12月滑窗,增大数据量,只取一年内12月作为label,时间久远的数据变化较大;训练集挑出label为0的,以及特征多数为0的,让模型去学习和预测较大的非0销量)
2.手工特征(12月销量、6月产量、销量平均数标准差、待预测月标签(提升很大!)、有销量的月份数;没用的特征:省份城市车型、斜率、中位数、宏观经济?、车型配置、车厢数、车价格)
3.人工规则(人工预测测试集的0销量:9月-12月为0000则为0;8月-12月为00100则为0)人工预测0值提升很大(0.1个点)

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