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Credit Card Fraud Detection

Project Overview

This project aims to develop a robust fraud detection model to identify fraudulent transactions within a highly imbalanced dataset. Using advanced machine learning techniques and comprehensive data analysis, we created a model that can effectively distinguish between genuine and fraudulent transactions, providing enhanced security and reliability for financial transactions.

Key Features

  • Data Preprocessing:

    • Applied log transformation to the Amount feature to reduce skewness.
    • Standardized features using RobustScaler for consistent scaling.
    • Addressed class imbalance with SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique).
  • Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA):

    • Visualizations like histograms, pairplots, and heatmaps demonstrate feature distributions and relationships.
    • Identified key patterns and insights that differentiate fraudulent transactions from non-fraudulent ones.
  • Model Selection and Hyperparameter Tuning:

    • Evaluated basic Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and XGBoost models.
    • Used GridSearchCV for hyperparameter tuning with Random Forest and XGBoost, optimizing for average precision.
  • Model Performance Evaluation:

    • Compared models based on metrics like precision-recall AUC, and F1-score.
    • Visualized performance using ROC and precision-recall curves.
  • Final Model Selection:

    • Selected XGBoost as the final model due to its superior balance of precision and recall, achieving an excellent Precision-Recall AUC of 0.89 and the best F1 score among tuned models.

Practical Implications

  • High Accuracy and Reliability: The XGBoost classifier is highly accurate and reliable for detecting fraudulent transactions. This ensures that genuine transactions are processed smoothly while effectively catching most fraud cases.
  • Customer Confidence: Provides customers with a reliable system that minimizes interruptions to legitimate transactions.
  • Continuous Improvement: Emphasizes the need for ongoing monitoring and enhancement to adapt to new fraud patterns.

Final Model: XGBoost

Precision-Recall Curves (tuned models)

ROC Curves

Confusion Matrix

Confusion Matrix

Future Work

  • Tuning Enhancement: Further tuning and evaluating additional hyperparameters.
  • Ensemble Methods: Exploring combinations of multiple models for better results.

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