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covid_lux's Introduction

covid_lux

Data gathering and estimation of total COVID-19 cases in Luxembourg

Aim

  • Gather structure data for Luxembourg - mainly daily confirmed cases and daily percentage of tests as confirmed cases
  • Reproduce this for Luxembourg, the estimated number of cases in the 'region'. If you aren't familiar with Luxembourg, 1/4 of it's daytime or working population is from outside the country and potentially also being tested by Luxembourg.

Conclusion

The method doesn't appear to work for smaller numbers of cases - or there's an error with my methodology.

See results below:

Existing data Smoothed data Percentage of tests as positive cases Flawed result

Data source

https://msan.gouvernement.lu/fr/graphiques-evolution.html

Method

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.26.20141135v1

covid_lux's People

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