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hpesonen avatar hpesonen commented on September 20, 2024

Hi! I think that linear regression adjustment actually works as intended for an observation model without noise, which essentially is a linear system of equations (L) in this case. The adjustment "corrects" all the samples as the same solution to (L).

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joshhjacobson avatar joshhjacobson commented on September 20, 2024

What do you mean by "an observation model without noise"? Is this in reference to the original observed data (i.e. theoretical quantiles of the chi-squared in my example), or the lack of random simulation from the parameters in the rejection sampling stage?

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joshhjacobson avatar joshhjacobson commented on September 20, 2024

I see what you mean. The system can be described as y = XB where y is the vector of samples for a single parameter, X is a matrix with samples over rows and summary statistics (selected quantiles in this case) over the columns, and B is a vector of coefficients. When fitting this model manually using sklearn.linear_model.LinearRegression().fit(X, y), I get an r-squared of 1, i.e. a perfect fit. As it turns out, the quantile function for the Normal distribution is a linear function of the location and scale parameters so the point estimate is actually the correct result. This is not an issue with ELFI at all, just my own understanding!

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