Questions about email from professor about unemployment HOT 9 CLOSED

When I get the chance, I'll check the library site for some articles on
forecasting or model building - maybe even past attempts to forecast this
data.

On Jul 16, 2016 4:58 PM, "Alison" [email protected] wrote:

"Projects: Written reports of Round II are posted, there is a 5-page
limit. For Round III, the page limit is ten."

• The duties of each member should be stated and documented clearly.
  Otherwise, the member may be given an average score at best, since there is
  no other way assess the contribution. You may review other groups reports
  and get ideas to improve your your organizing and writing of your group's
  report.

(That is a scary idea - I would like all of us to earn top marks. I have
been reviewing some literature - the literature part is fun for me. So, I
will have no problem documenting things and consolidating the work that
everyone has done. Of course, I think we are all interested in being part
of all the parts of the process.)

Some guidelines for writing the final reports can be found in the course
syllabus.

(I am going to go through that again and get some kind of outline going.
If there is anything that anyone things is important to add, I don't want
the type of writing to get in the way. So, I think I will add some of the
process to the Read.Me file on the write-ups page. What do you all think?
Of course, I will keep pushing the LaTeX files to github from now on.)

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from unemployment.

That would be awesome.

On Jul 16, 2016, at 3:01 PM, Sean Roberson [email protected] wrote:

When I get the chance, I'll check the library site for some articles on
forecasting or model building - maybe even past attempts to forecast this
data.

On Jul 16, 2016 4:58 PM, "Alison" [email protected] wrote:

"Projects: Written reports of Round II are posted, there is a 5-page
limit. For Round III, the page limit is ten."

• The duties of each member should be stated and documented clearly.
  Otherwise, the member may be given an average score at best, since there is
  no other way assess the contribution. You may review other groups reports
  and get ideas to improve your your organizing and writing of your group's
  report.

(That is a scary idea - I would like all of us to earn top marks. I have
been reviewing some literature - the literature part is fun for me. So, I
will have no problem documenting things and consolidating the work that
everyone has done. Of course, I think we are all interested in being part
of all the parts of the process.)

Some guidelines for writing the final reports can be found in the course
syllabus.

(I am going to go through that again and get some kind of outline going.
If there is anything that anyone things is important to add, I don't want
the type of writing to get in the way. So, I think I will add some of the
process to the Read.Me file on the write-ups page. What do you all think?
Of course, I will keep pushing the LaTeX files to github from now on.)

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from unemployment.

I did some looking online and there are a few articles i suggest looking at... i dont have memberships to these sites though so maybe Sean can get access through the library or at least it may help bring up some other search ideas. I found these articles using Google Scholar searches.

Journal of the American Statistical Association
Volume 93, Issue 442, 1998
Forecasting the U.S. Unemployment Rate Applications and Case Studies
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01621459.1998.10473696

Applied Economics
Volume 33, Issue 10, 2001
The persistence of unemployment in the USA and Europe in terms of fractionally ARIMA models
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007137

There is an R package for fractional arima, im going to check it out and see how it does.

from unemployment.

This sounds great. Actually, I think the textbook might point us to some
important literature. I will check it out later.

On Sat, Jul 16, 2016 at 7:26 PM, Joseph Blubaugh [email protected]
wrote:

I did some looking online and there are a few articles i suggest looking
at... i dont have memberships to these sites though so maybe Sean can get
access through the library or at least it may help bring up some other
search ideas. I found these articles using Google Scholar searches.

Journal of the American Statistical Association
Volume 93, Issue 442, 1998
Forecasting the U.S. Unemployment Rate Applications and Case Studies
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01621459.1998.10473696

Applied Economics
Volume 33, Issue 10, 2001
The persistence of unemployment in the USA and Europe in terms of
fractionally ARIMA models
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007137

There is an R package for fractional arima, im going to check it out and
see how it does.

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from unemployment.

Here are the papers Joseph mentioned. In case anyone has no access to them.

On Sat, Jul 16, 2016 at 10:28 PM, Bo Pang [email protected] wrote:

This sounds great. Actually, I think the textbook might point us to some
important literature. I will check it out later.

On Sat, Jul 16, 2016 at 7:26 PM, Joseph Blubaugh <[email protected]

wrote:

I did some looking online and there are a few articles i suggest looking
at... i dont have memberships to these sites though so maybe Sean can get
access through the library or at least it may help bring up some other
search ideas. I found these articles using Google Scholar searches.

Journal of the American Statistical Association
Volume 93, Issue 442, 1998
Forecasting the U.S. Unemployment Rate Applications and Case Studies
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01621459.1998.10473696

Applied Economics
Volume 33, Issue 10, 2001
The persistence of unemployment in the USA and Europe in terms of
fractionally ARIMA models
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007137

There is an R package for fractional arima, im going to check it out and
see how it does.

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from unemployment.

Does anyone here use Mendeley? I just added the articles mentioned to my account. If you are interested there is a link here: https://www.mendeley.com/groups/9054941/summer-2016-stat-626-group-4/papers/.

from unemployment.

I use Mendeley. This looks great! Thanks!

On Mon, Jul 18, 2016 at 3:49 PM, Alison [email protected] wrote:

Does anyone here use Mendeley? I just added the articles mentioned to my
account. If you are interested there is a link here:
https://www.mendeley.com/groups/9054941/summer-2016-stat-626-group-4/papers/
.

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from unemployment.

I placed the articles in the Writeups folder, including another one I found
called "Lessons...Unemployment."

On Mon, Jul 18, 2016 at 6:08 PM, bopangpsy [email protected] wrote:

I use Mendeley. This looks great! Thanks!

On Mon, Jul 18, 2016 at 3:49 PM, Alison [email protected] wrote:

Does anyone here use Mendeley? I just added the articles mentioned to my
account. If you are interested there is a link here:

https://www.mendeley.com/groups/9054941/summer-2016-stat-626-group-4/papers/
.

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I moved all of the literature into a common literature folder and updated Mendeley with the citations.

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