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stumakha avatar stumakha commented on May 4, 2024

Same issue here. Did not even use customized model. Just moved the code to a new computer. Same code does not produce prediction interval bars.

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alhauser avatar alhauser commented on May 4, 2024

@MengyingLi : zooming into the screenshot, it seems credible bands are present in the pre-period, but super narrow. So it could be an artifact of the custom BSTS model that it overfits data in the pre-period, but adds a strong random walk component which makes the credible bands very wide in the post-period. I'd play around with the model to find one that better fits the actual signal.

@stumakha : did moving the code just remove the credible band in the pre-period, or everywhere? If the latter, is this the same as #36 which is fixed in the latest version on Github?

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stumakha avatar stumakha commented on May 4, 2024

@MengyingLi I had a problem solved in #36 . slategray2 vs SlateGray2 Thank you.

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