Comments (5)
Thank you for catching this and letting us know. The missing Region 9 predictions might be because of failed job. Will rerun and update.
from cdc-flusight-ensemble.
As for the Region 1 onset, it seems like the point forecast itself is present, but the model seems to be predicting 'no onset' (will investigate this separately) and hence the point forecast is left blank. This is true in a few other EWs in the same season and region.
Just consulted the guidance document. Will change the point prediction to 'NA' in those files.
from cdc-flusight-ensemble.
Could you confirm that if we fill point prediction for onset with 'NA' this error would not occur? We are testing locally using FluSight's verify_submit function (which calls verify_point.R), and we still get a missing point prediction warning when the onset prediction is NA or "NA".
from cdc-flusight-ensemble.
I think it will be ok. It is hard for us to tell until we run the script though. Can you push in a new version and we will test it ASAP?
from cdc-flusight-ensemble.
Thanks Nick. Have pushed a version which has the missing Region 9, and also has no onset point prediction as 'NA's. Please let us know if the warning persists.
Meanwhile, we've identified the bug that was causing several of these 'no onset' predictions (mismatch of region baselines in onset estimation). We've fixed it and are rerunning the models. Once they're done, we can push the updated results. Hope there's still time to retrain them.
Sorry for the inconvenience.
from cdc-flusight-ensemble.
Related Issues (20)
- Automerge and push from travis HOT 1
- point estimates scores use calendar week and not model week HOT 1
- calculate new weights HOT 1
- remove DBM model
- re-score all models
- re-generate targets
- check that re-build of CV-ensembles using updated models works
- remove UTaustin model
- create final weight files for season
- create final CV ensemble files for 2018/2019 season
- re-order protea kudu model columns
- are historical ILI rates (known at time T) available? HOT 1
- Confirm that target-multivals are created based on data as of the end of season HOT 1
- error with at least 1 UA forecast file HOT 3
- Error in EW49 2018 CU_EAKFC_SIRS data format HOT 3
- Error in Protea_Kudu Forecast Formatting HOT 3
- Protea Kudu Formatting Edits
- Protea_Kudu forecasts have unexpected indentation in the βvalueβ column HOT 3
- Update flusight-deploy to not depend on the non-updated FluSight repository
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